Jack McKeon on the way out as Florida Marlins Manager?

According to a National League source, the Florida Marlins are doing just that. The Sun-Sentinel reports today.

The top candidate to replace McKeon, 74, would be Yankees bench coach Joe Girardi, the source said. Girardi, a favorite of Marlins owner Jeffrey Loria, could have been the Marlins' bench coach but turned down their offer last fall.

Jack McKeon possibly being on the way out wouldn't surprise me. There is ample precedent for it, I think a Bill James study showed most(80% or higher) pennant winning managers were out of a job within five years. Maybe as high as fifty percent within two years. I wish I knew which of James books to look this up in.

My question is- What will Girardi do differently? When sports writers talk about managers and coaches the discussions are vague and mostly about intangibles. The Marlins may well need a shakeup but what will Girardi do that is different from McKeon.

Other names being considered are former Marlins managers Jim Leyland and Jeff Torborg, Devil Rays manager Lou Piniella, former Red Sox manager Grady Little and Braves third-base coach Fredi Gonzalez.

Leyland, a part-time scout for the Cardinals, led the Marlins to their first World Series title in 1997. Torborg, a Fox television analyst, has earned the gratitude of Marlins management with his refusal to burn bridges since his May 2003 firing.

Piniella is under contract through 2006, but he and the Rays have been exploring exit strategies.

Please no managerial re-treads like Leyland, Pinella and most definitely not Torborg. I don't any purpose in firing McKeon just to bring in someone who is likely to do exactly the same things. Why fire the manager then?