That's the 3-day map for Tropical Storm Ernesto. As you can see it takes him right through the center of South Florida.
A hurricane watch has been posted for Southeast Florida from Key West to Deerfield Beach. Also part of Southwest Florida is in the watch area.
TFM lives just to the north of the watch area. But it looks probable we'll be in the Hurricane Watch or Warning Zone soon.
Any South Floridians should be preparing for this storm. We look to be in for a ride over the next few days.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS QUITE COMPLICATED DUE TO POSSIBLE LAND INTERACTIONS WITH CUBA. IF ERNESTO EMERGES SOONER AND A LITTLEFARTHER NORTH OFF THE COAST OF CUBA...THEN THE CYCLONE WILL HAVEMORE TIME TO STRENGTHEN OVER VERY WARM SSTS OF 86-88F AND IN A VERYFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REGIME. THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL ISFORECASTING NEAR-ZERO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...JUST AS ERNESTO ISAPPROACHING THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA IN 48 HOURS. THESECONDITIONS WOULD FAVOR THE POSSIBILITY OF ERNESTO BECOMING ACATEGORY 2 OR EVEN A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALLALONG THE FLORIDA COAST.
Ernesto is forecasted to be a strong tropical storm or weak hurricane when it makes US landfall. But as is stated above, it could be stronger.
If you're interested in seeing what the Computer model tracks say, go here. They're almost unanimous, South Florida will be hit.
We'll start making our storm preperations. All South Floridians should do the same.
Eye of the Storm has some history of hurricanes that came on a track similar to Ernesto.
Florida Cracker and Stuck on the Palmetto are also blogging on Ernesto. Any other Florida bloggers talking about Ernesto, send me a trackback(Or leave me a comment) and I'll update this post with a link back to you.
This post will be at the top of my blog all day. Check in for periodic updates and say a prayer for all residents of South Florida.
11 a.m. Update- A Hurricane Watch has been post from New Smyrna Beach Florida southward.